Tropics update 06160630
June 25, 2010
– Not much new organization-wise with 93L ; the latest Tropical Weather Outlook continues to forecast a 60% chance of tropical storm formation in the next 48 hours. The low is moving very slowly/near stationary due east of Honduras. The tentatively scheduled Hurricane Hunter mission is likely to be a go. At the moment, global forecast models are more or less in agreement in a forecast of the low going north-west to Mexico/southern Texas (no stronger than a tropical storm).
– In the Pacific, Hurricane Celia, only the second June category five on record in the basin, remains at category five status this morning per the 5 AM advisory. The 50% deficit in Accumulated Cyclone Energy recorded year to date in the northern hemisphere that existed when Celia became a hurricane has shrunk to ~ 20% and continues to narrow due to Celia (with a small bit of help from Hurricane Darby as well).