Tropical Storm Chris update 020800L
August 2, 2006
The hurricane hunter found a slightly higher maximum flight level winds on its final pass (67 knots), which caused the intensity for the 8 AM intermediate advisory to be bumped to 65 mph.
One thing of note, that could cause a rethinking of my expectations for the track of the storm:The heading of the storm (as calculated from the center fixes made by the plane) over the past six hours is 305° , which suggests that the storm is truly moving a little bit more to the north than it was yesterday (vice a temporary jump to the north because of a center reformation). That by itself could cause a little bit more of a northward adjustment to the forecast, heightening the concern for South Florida.
My next update will be at around 2 this afternoon as I’ll see whether my prediction of Chris being a hurricane at the 5 PM advisory verifies. Next official update from the National Hurricane Center is at 11 AM EDT.