Tropics Watch 0609

June 9, 2006

I haven't had much time today to look at the situation as I've been preparing for my "one weekend a month" followed by my "two weeks a year" for the Navy Reserves.

The area of low pressure that was mentioned here yesterday appears to be consolidating itself into a closed low 200 miles or so east of the spot being watched yesterday. From this afternoon's Tropical Weather Discussion:

CARIBBEAN SEA… THE MAIN WEATHER INTEREST IN THIS AREA IS A 1006 MB LOW IN THE NW CARIBBEAN CENTERED NEAR 17N86W. THIS LOW SITS ON A SLOW MOVING SFC TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM W CUBA TO HONDURAS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 78W-87W. SHOWERS AND TSTMS HAVE BEEN IN THIS REGION FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK…BUT TODAY THERE IS MORE ORGANIZATION TO THE ACTIVITY. THIS BROAD/ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRES IS SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPING WITH BUOY OBS REPORTING 15-20 KT WINDS AROUND THE LOW CENTER. IN ADDITION…COMPUTER MODELS HAVE BECOME IN FAIR AGREEMENT SLOWLY STRENGTHENING THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MIGRATES NWARD TOWARDS THE GULF OF MEXICO

 The hurricane hunter flight scheduled for tomorrow afternoon is still on (and is looking more likely, of course).

I'm still on the skeptical side of things as far as development goes. Anything developing is going to have an uphill fight.

I'll try to write something a little more comprehensive late this evening from my hotel… 

Advertisements

One Response to “Tropics Watch 0609”

  1. A Big Wind Says:

    Hi. We’ve just come across your hurricane site and have added you to our blogroll. Great information! OUr hurricane blog is a community blog and forum with one mission: Hurricane protection through consumer protection, community involvement, and commerce. We hope to see you there – let us know your thoughts.

    Thanks,

    A Big Wind
    http://www.abigwind.com


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: